Web 2.0 Summit 08: Kevin Kelly (Wired)

Web 2.0 Summit 08: Kevin Kelly (Wired)

• It was 6257 days from the time Tim Bernes Lee made to the first web page.
• There was not enough days then to do all we have achieved today.
• It was supposed to be like TV but ended up unlike TV in every way.
• The first version was about connected computers and linking data.
• There was sharing and concern about sharing.
• We shared documents and concern for copyrighting docs.
• We got over that.
• We had document and page sharing. Then we had links.
• We now have the next phase of linking data. 
• The information within the page(database) to other data. This is more finer grained linking.
• The semantic web will be aware of data. Like 'knowing' that a word in a document is a 'City' etc.
• We will unstructure the data units to basic units and then restructure them.
• We will unstructure the elements from language, and put it in a format machines can understand and then restructuring.
• We now can share data with less apprehension.
• Objects we manufacture will have a sliver of intelligence in it and becomes part of the web.
• Probes in our bodies, manufacture items,etc will then become a 'database of things', shared and restructured.
• This is what we can expect in the next 6500 days of the web. 
• It is not going to be the web, only better. It will be different from the web as we know it today.
• We have many screens now looking at the same one machine, with transistors, CPUs.
• The web is an OS and we will move it onto the OS.
• The web will own all that is produced. Everything else will not count. The web will be a black hole.
• Data will be processed and structured.
• Like the network of network of networks, we have the media of media, all observing the same laws. One screen  shows us TV, data, video, audio.
• There is a global sense to this machine, like the global Financial market.
• We are continuing toward the database and sharing.
• All work is moving into the cloud.
• The information is moving into a database, the 'heart' of the engine.
• How far can we go with sharing, hive mind, social media,etc. We are pushing these boundaries.
• Life in this cloud is always 'On' and extreme dependence. We will feel amputated when we are Off. It will make us smarter. The consequences of being off will be more apparent.
• The web will be an extension of ourselves. Where do we start and end? 
• The social web gives us a new meaning and a new understanding of the value of the collective.
• The legal conflicts will not stop either.
• We have to get better at believing the impossible as the impossible has happened now.

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My Web 2.0 surfings for 10-15-2008

TED: Chris Anderson (Wired): Technology's Long Tail
I did not hear anything about the long tail in this speech.

• In business, one needs to forecast interests, and also build a product.
• Answer why and when about about the product
• The unified theory on technology trends states that there are four stages for a technology to get.
  
• Each Stage is a collision.
  
• These stages are:

1. The technology must fall below a critical price.
2. It's users must rise above a critical mass.
3. It must displace another technology
4. The technology must then commoditize

• WIFI has reached the 1st two stages.
• The DVD has gone through all the four above stages.
  
• Netflix could capitalize on the DVD model as DVDs was smaller in size to VHS tapes.As DVDs get cheaper, the premium brands like Sony loose out.
• Gene sequencing is falling in price to 40 million from billions a few years ago.At the same time, more genes are being found
• Another example is the generic drug. The effectof the generic drug is is dramatic. The cost of these is typicallyis now 50c a day. More people can be treated cheaply.
• Linux has now switched to critical mass.
• The hybrid car is another technology. Electric motors are now being introduced. This can lead to new era of automobiles
• VOIP is another example. Skype has 4M users.
• Harddrive space is being made almost free these days. This is an example of commoditization
• Fiber Optics: Calls to India costed $2 per minute in 1990. The prices are now about 7c a minute.
  

See the presentation here

Eric Schmidt's short take on 3.0

• Web 2.0 is mostly Ajax.
• Web 3.0 is about applications in the 'cloud' which are fast and customizable. They are distributed virally: Social Networks, email.
• This is dramatically different from the mainframe and the PC era.

See the presentation here.

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